MIGRATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT IN PAKISTAN: A TIME SERIES ANALYSIS

Abstract

The study has observed the effect of unemployment on migration in Pakistan from 1981 to 2015. For observing the stationarity of variables, unit root test is used. Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach (ARDL) is used for cointegration among the variables of the model. The expected results of the study show that unemployment has negative and significant impact on migration in Pakistan over the selected time period. The results of the study show that unemployment increases migration. On the basis of empirical results, this study suggests that unemployment increases migration in case of Pakistan, so Pakistan must try to reduce unemployment for decrease migration.