Synergetic Impact of Institutional Quality, Foreign Direct Investment, Urban Population Growth and Trade on CO2 Emission: Selective Countries of South Asian
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.61506/01.00392Keywords:
Panel autoregressive distributive lag PARDL, urban population growth (URB), institutional quality index (IQ), foreign direct investment (FDI), Trade (TRD)Abstract
This research examines the relationships within CO2, Institutional quality, foreign direct investment (FDI), urban population growth and Trade in India, Pakistan, Bhutan, Afghanistan, and Bangladesh, five countries in south Asia. ARDL Autoregressive distributed lag model outcomes suggest, factors effecting environmental quality in all countries move in unison over the long term (co-integration). The environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis EKC is also supported by the results. Additionally Institutional quality seems to have negative influence on environmental quality while foreign direct investment (FDI), urban population growth and Trade positively influenced CO2 emission. ARDL observations demonstrate, there is a strong correlation among CO2 emission and Institutional quality, foreign direct investment, urban population growth and Trade.
References
Abro, A. A., Abubakar, M., Shahid, T. A., & Fatima, U. (2024). Does Volatility Spillover among Sectors Varies from Normal to Turbulent Periods ? Evidence from Pakistan Stock Exchange. Pakistan Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences Volume, 12(02), 1174–1187. DOI: https://doi.org/10.52131/pjhss.2024.v12i2.2121
Adom, P. K., Bekoe, W., & Akoena, S. K. K. (2012). Modelling aggregate domestic electricity demand in Ghana: An autoregressive distributed lag bounds cointegration approach. Energy Policy, 42, 530-537. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2011.12.019
Afshan, S., & Yaqoob, T. (2023). Unravelling the efficacy of green innovation and taxation in promoting environmental quality: A dual-model assessment of testing the LCC theory in emerging economies. Journal of Cleaner Production, 416, 137850. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.137850
Agrawal, P. (2000). Economic impact of foreign direct investment in South Asia. India and the WTO, 117.
Amin, N., Rahman, S. U., Khalid, S., & Idress, S. (2024). How Does Tourism, Trade Openness and Green Energy Influence CO2 emissions? Evidence from ASEAN Countries. Bulletin of Business and Economics, 13(2), 71–79. DOI: https://doi.org/10.61506/01.00300
Antweiler, W., Copeland, B. R., & Taylor, M. S. (2001). Is free trade good for the environment? American economic review, 91(4), 877-908. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.91.4.877
Arshad, S., Joseph, S., Rahman, S. U., Idress, S., & Shahid, T. A. (2024). Decarbonizing the Future: A Critical Review of Green Energy, Financial Inclusion and Trade Openness on CO2 Emissions. Bulletin of Business and Economics, 13(2), 160–163. DOI: https://doi.org/10.61506/01.00311
Birdsall, N., & Wheeler, D. (1993). Trade policy and industrial pollution in Latin America: where are the pollution havens? The Journal of Environment & Development, 2(1), 137-149. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/107049659300200107
Chen, C., Qin, Y., & Gao, Y. (2023). Does new urbanization affect CO2 emissions in China: A spatial econometric analysis. Sustainable Cities and Society, 96, 104687. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2023.104687
Cole, M. A., & Elliott, R. J. (2005). FDI and the capital intensity of “dirty” sectors: a missing piece of the pollution haven puzzle. Review of Development Economics, 9(4), 530-548. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9361.2005.00292.x
Cole, M. A., Elliott, R. J., & Fredriksson, P. G. (2006). Endogenous pollution havens: Does FDI influence environmental regulations? Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 108(1), 157-178. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9442.2006.00439.x
Copeland, B. R., & Taylor, M. S. (2004). Trade, growth, and the environment. Journal of Economic literature, 42(1), 7-71. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/002205104773558047
Costantiello, A., & Leogrande, A. (2024). The regulatory quality in the light of environmental, social and governance framework at world level. Discover Global Society, 2(1), 1. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s44282-023-00024-6
Eskeland, G. S., & Harrison, A. E. (2003). Moving to greener pastures? Multinationals and the pollution haven hypothesis. Journal of development economics, 70(1), 1-23. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-3878(02)00084-6
Fang, W., Liu, Z., & Putra, A. R. S. (2022). Role of research and development in green economic growth through renewable energy development: empirical evidence from South Asia. Renewable energy, 194, 1142-1152. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2022.04.125
Frankel, J. A., & Rose, A. K. (2005). Is trade good or bad for the environment? Sorting out the causality. Review of economics and statistics, 87(1), 85-91. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1162/0034653053327577
Ghazouani, T., & Maktouf, S. (2024). Impact of natural resources, trade openness, and economic growth on CO2 emissions in oil‐exporting countries: A panel autoregressive distributed lag analysis. Natural resources forum, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/1477-8947.12318
Halicioglu, F. (2009). An econometric study of CO2 emissions, energy consumption, income and foreign trade in Turkey. Energy Policy, 37(3), 1156-1164. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2008.11.012
Hegazy, I. R., Hammad, H. A., Munshi, A. M., Alqurashi, A. A., & Bahreldin, I. Z. (2024). Pathways to green urbanism: evaluating Jeddah’s environmental sustainability progress and prospects. International Journal of Low-Carbon Technologies, 19, 1177-1188. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/ijlct/ctae051
Huang, Y., Rahman, S. U., Meo, M. S., Ali, M. S. E., & Khan, S. (2024). Revisiting the environmental Kuznets curve: assessing the impact of climate policy uncertainty in the Belt and Road Initiative. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 31(7), 10579–10593. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-023-31471-y
Irfan, A., Azam, A., & Shahid, T. A. (2023). Terrorism and Social Politics : How the Increase of Terrorism Impacts the Socio- Terrorism and Social Politics : How the Increase of Terrorism Impacts the Socio-Political Thoughts of the Pakistani Public. International Journal of Research in Econoics & Commerce, 4(1), 21–30.
Jalil, A., & Mahmud, S. F. (2009). Environment Kuznets curve for CO2 emissions: a cointegration analysis for China. Energy Policy, 37(12), 5167-5172. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2009.07.044
Koirala, S. (2019). SMEs: Key drivers of green and inclusive growth.
Kozul-Wright, R., & Fortunato, P. (2012). International trade and carbon emissions. The European Journal of Development Research, 24, 509-529. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/ejdr.2012.15
Liddle, B. (2013). Urban density and climate change: a STIRPAT analysis using city-level data. Journal of Transport Geography, 28, 22-29. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2012.10.010
Maqsood1, N., Shahid, T. A., Amir, H., & Kanwal Bilal. (2023). Symmetric impact of Trade, exchange rate, and inflation rate on Stock Market in Pakistan: New evidence from Macroeconomic variables. Bulletin of Business and Economics, 12(3), 903–911. DOI: https://doi.org/10.61506/01.00292
Marcotullio, P. J., Sarzynski, A., Albrecht, J., & Schulz, N. (2014). A top-down regional assessment of urban greenhouse gas emissions in Europe. AMBIO, 43, 957-968. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-013-0467-6
Minhas, A. S., Maqsood, N., Shahid, T. A., & Rehman, A. U. (2024). Investment Performance in Green Finance: Assessing the Impact of Environmental Social and Governance Integration. IRASD Journal of Economics, 6(1), 27–44. DOI: https://doi.org/10.52131/joe.2024.0601.0192
Murshed, M., Haseeb, M., & Alam, M. S. (2022). The environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis for carbon and ecological footprints in South Asia: the role of renewable energy. GeoJournal, 87(3), 2345-2372. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10708-020-10370-6
Narayan, P. (2004). Reformulating critical values for the bounds F-statistics approach to cointegration: an application to the tourism demand model for Fiji (Vol. 2). Monash University Australia.
Narayan, P. K. (2003). An econometric model of tourism demand and a computable general equilibrium analysis of the impact of tourism: the case of the Fiji Islands Monash University].
Narayan, P. K. (2005). The saving and investment nexus for China: evidence from cointegration tests. Applied economics, 37(17), 1979-1990. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036840500278103
Ogede, J. S., Oduola, M. O., & Tiamiyu, H. O. (2024). Income inequality and carbon dioxide (CO2) in sub-Saharan Africa countries: the moderating role of financial inclusion and institutional quality. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 26(7), 18385-18409. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-023-03393-9
Pao, H.-T., & Tsai, C.-M. (2011). Multivariate Granger causality between CO2 emissions, energy consumption, FDI (foreign direct investment) and GDP (gross domestic product): evidence from a panel of BRIC (Brazil, Russian Federation, India, and China) countries. Energy, 36(1), 685-693. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2010.09.041
Parikh, J., & Shukla, V. (1995). Urbanization, energy use and greenhouse effects in economic development: Results from a cross-national study of developing countries. Global Environmental Change, 5(2), 87-103. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/0959-3780(95)00015-G
Parveen, S., Hanif, A., Rahman, D. S. U., & Sheikh, D. S. M. (2024). Examining the Effect of Foreign Direct Investment and Exports on Stock Market Performance: Evidence from India Based Bound Testing to Cointegration ARDL Approach. Bulletin of Business and Economics, 12(4), 700–707. DOI: https://doi.org/10.61506/01.00293
Pesaran, M. H., & Shin, Y. (1995). An autoregressive distributed lag modelling approach to cointegration analysis (Vol. 9514). Department of Applied Economics, University of Cambridge Cambridge, UK.
Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of applied econometrics, 16(3), 289-326. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.616
Phillips, P. C., & Hansen, B. E. (1990). Statistical inference in instrumental variables regression with I (1) processes. The Review of Economic Studies, 57(1), 99-125. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2297545
Rabbia Syed, Sehrish Arshad, Saif Ur Rahman, S. M. S. (2024). An Overview of Foreign Direct Investment and Green Growth in OIC Countries. Pakistan Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences, 2(1), 8826. DOI: https://doi.org/10.52131/pjhss.2024.v12i2.2005
Raihan, A., Muhtasim, D. A., Farhana, S., Pavel, M. I., Faruk, O., Rahman, M., & Mahmood, A. (2022). Nexus between carbon emissions, economic growth, renewable energy use, urbanization, industrialization, technological innovation, and forest area towards achieving environmental sustainability in Bangladesh. Energy and Climate Change, 3, 100080. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egycc.2022.100080
Rehman, E., & Rehman, S. (2022). Modeling the nexus between carbon emissions, urbanization, population growth, energy consumption, and economic development in Asia: Evidence from grey relational analysis. Energy Reports, 8, 5430-5442. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egyr.2022.03.179
Ridwan, M., Urbee, A. J., Voumik, L. C., Das, M. K., Rashid, M., & Esquivias, M. A. (2024). Investigating the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis with urbanization, industrialization, and service sector for six South Asian Countries: Fresh evidence from Driscoll Kraay standard error. Research in Globalization, 8, 100223. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resglo.2024.100223
Sadia Bint Raza, Sheikh, S. M., & Rahman, S. U. (2024). The Mediating Role of Agency Cost between Corporate Governance and Financial Performance: Evidence from Pakistan Stock Exchange. IRASD Journal of Economics, 6(1), 144–163. DOI: https://doi.org/10.52131/joe.2024.0601.0199
Saeed, J., Maqsood, N., Shahid, T. A., Amir, H., Rehman, A. U., & Kanwal, B. and. (2024). Impacts of Social Capital, Financial Literacy and Financial Inclusion on Economic Growth of a Primary Data Analysis: Evidence from Pakistan Special Focus on Listed Banks. Bulletin of Business and Economics, 13(2), 637–646. DOI: https://doi.org/10.61506/01.00373
Saeed, R., Rahman, S. U., & Sheikh, S. M. (2024). Green Investment, Energy Consumption and Environmental Pollution Nexus G-7 Countries: A Historical Perceptive. Pakistan Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences, 12(1), 127–136. DOI: https://doi.org/10.52131/pjhss.2024.v12i1.1986
Sahoo, M., & Sethi, N. (2023). An empirical insight into the financial globalization–growth nexus via trade openness: Evidence from select south Asian countries. Global Business Review, 24(2), 317-334. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/0972150919893840
Sahoo, P. (2006). Foreign direct investment in South Asia: Policy, trends, impact and determinants.
Salahodjaev, R., & Isaeva, A. (2024). Post-Soviet states and CO2 emissions: The role of foreign direct investment. In Strategies and Challenges of Sustainable Development in Eurasia (pp. 110-131). Routledge. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4324/9781032704098-6
Shahbaz, M., Nuta, A. C., Mishra, P., & Ayad, H. (2023). The impact of informality and institutional quality on environmental footprint: The case of emerging economies in a comparative approach. Journal of environmental management, 348, 119325. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.119325
Shahid, T. A. (2023). A Comparative Analysis of Sustainable Growth on Health : Evidence from Asian Countries. International Journal of Innovative Science and Research Technology, 8(1), 1183–1188.
Shahid, T. A. (2024a). Effect of Public Investment on Health Population : A Review of BRICS Countries. 6(1), 1–9. DOI: https://doi.org/10.52131/joe.2024.0601.0190
Shahid, T. A. (2024b). Impact of Human Development Index on Economics Growth : Evidence from Asian Countries. February 2023.
Shahid, T. A. (2024c). The Impact of Dividend and Tax Avoidance on Earning Management of Companies. Bulletin of Business and Economics, 13(April), 256–272. DOI: https://doi.org/10.61506/01.00201
Shahid, T. A., Zafar, M., & Minhas, A. S. (2023). Testing the Economic Theory of Crime in case of Pakistan. UCP Journal of Business Perspectives, 1(2), 73–86.
Shen, Y., Ur Rahman, S., Hafiza, N. S., Meo, M. S., & Ali, M. S. E. (2024). Does green investment affect environment pollution: Evidence from asymmetric ARDL approach? PLoS ONE, 19(4 April), 1–25. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0292260
Singhania, M., & Saini, N. (2021). Demystifying pollution haven hypothesis: Role of FDI. Journal of Business Research, 123, 516-528. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2020.10.007
Song, M., Anees, A., Rahman, S. U., & Ali, M. S. E. (2024). Technology transfer for green investments: exploring how technology transfer through foreign direct investments can contribute to sustainable practices and reduced environmental impact in OIC economies. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 31(6), 8812–8827. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-023-31553-x
Vidya, C. (2024). Unveiling the complex web: exploring the international fossil fuel trade network and its impact on CO2 emissions and trade patterns. Studies in Economics and Finance. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/SEF-12-2023-0697
Wang, Q., Zhang, F., & Li, R. (2024). Free trade and carbon emissions revisited: the asymmetric impacts of trade diversification and trade openness. Sustainable Development, 32(1), 876-901. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.2703
Wolde-Rufael, Y. (2010). Bounds test approach to cointegration and causality between nuclear energy consumption and economic growth in India. Energy Policy, 38(1), 52-58. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2009.08.053
Xu, X., Zeng, L., Li, S., Liu, Y., & Zhang, T. (2024). Dynamic nonlinear CO2 emission effects of urbanization routes in the eight most populous countries. Plos one, 19(2), e0296997. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0296997
Zarsky, L. (1999). Havens, halos and spaghetti: untangling the evidence about foreign direct investment and the environment. Foreign direct Investment and the Environment, 13(8), 47-74.
Zhai, J., & Kong, F. (2024). The Impact of Multi-Dimensional Urbanization on CO2 Emissions: Empirical Evidence from Jiangsu, China, at the County Level. Sustainability, 16(7), 3005. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su16073005
Zhang, J., & Shang, Y. (2022). The influence and mechanism of digital economy on the development of the tourism service trade—analysis of the mediating effect of carbon emissions under the background of COP26. Sustainability, 14(20), 13414. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su142013414
Zubair, S., Rahman, S. U., Sheikh, S. M., & Zafar, M. (2024). A Review of Green Innovation and Environmental Performance in BRICS Nations. Pakistan Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences, 12(1), 444–449. DOI: https://doi.org/10.52131/pjhss.2024.v12i1.1992